Web: jamesmcgrath.com.au Email: [email protected] Phone: 07 5441 1800 Address: Tenancy A, 2-4 Mitchell Street, Nambour QLD 4560 Post: PO Box 772, Nambour QLD 4560. Remember the lessons of 1993 and 2004 there is no such thing as invincibility in politics. Election funding Electoral law backgrounders Authorising electoral communication Learn about elections Delivering an election Managing the electoral roll Altering electoral divisions Determining ballot paper order Planning voting services Counting the votes Voting and the Government The three levels of government When elections are held Equally a long term govt is not necessarily a good govt. Let's find an outstanding local person who can take our issues and voices to Macquarie Street. Delegate to the Australian Labor Party National Conference from 2001. His party sent out fliers to almost everyone here. Even if they werent, they cant do what Howard did in 1998 because sandbagging alone is too much of a risk when youre just hovering at the majority line. Who are the candidates for election in 2022? The main parties on the ballot include the Australian Labor Party, the Coalition (Liberal and National parties), the Greens, the United Australia Party, the Liberal Democrats and One Nation. They are lucky that they received that many ministries after having only five seats in the House of Reps. Im not even a member of any political party but traditionally I want Labor to win just not under its current direction and leader. Id have this as the best chance for a Liberal pickup in QLD, probably more than Lilley or Moreton. cheers WD, Ben Moved Permanently. Following the 2020 Census, some states may redraw their districts. Ever since, the micro-parties particularly One Nation, have found a home in the outer suburban fringes of Brisbane. In 1998 Hanson contested the seat of Blair, winning 36% of the primary vote but losing to the Liberals (who got 21%) under Australia's system of preferential voting. Was i not clear on who was who ?. Oxley was the only Queensland electorate retained by Labor at the 1975 election, but was lost to Pauline Hanson at the 1996 defeat of the Keating government. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people are advised that this website may contain images and voices of deceased people. LDP, UAP and PHON have candidates already. Oxley is reasonably safe for Labor. My opinion is that Shayne Neumann will increase his vote, As the LNP candidate here, he is missing in action. A lock ( LockA locked padlock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Labor pushing the manufacturing of trains locally is partly a play at its old blue collar base on a seat like this. Results 1983-2019. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Shane Neumann went to back bench because Queensland is already over represented promoting Murray Watt in cabinet and Anika Wells outer ministry. The electorate may have lost Ipswich over several redistributions between 1996 and 2007, but Ipswich was replaced by equally strong Labor voting territory around Inala.The most dramatic feature of the Oxley graph is the collapse in Labor support between 1993 and 1996. Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. @ Ben, tell me what seats in Qld the Coalition will be picking up? It wouldve been more useful picking somebody from WA or Victoria but I suppose there wasnt many options left anymore. Labor are slight favourites here but it will be very close. I propose that the neighbouring Moreton would sooner fall to LNP. Theres supposed to be multiple electorate constituencies. Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane . It would be like me calling you a fascist conservative Those that had been made redundant were disillusioned. There is still room for improvement in QLD for the LNP. Blair took over territory in Ipswich in 1998 from the seat of Oxley. Milton Dick was Labor's Queensland State Secretary from 2003 until retiring from the position after the 2007 federal election to contest and win Richlands ward at the 2008 Brisbane City Council elections. Close to 100 seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding yourself or dreaming. Paul Murray calls Cameron Dick by name, Dick by nature!. The sense of entitlement is just awesomely out there. A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 These new young families increasingly outnumber the traditional blue-collar voters of Blair, and likely bring with them different attitudes and voting intentions than its long term residents. The bookies must seem to think the vote will blow back hard in Labors favor in this seat. We pay our respects to the people, the cultures and the elders past, present and emerging. If the Newspoll of 54/46 the Libs arent picking up any anywhere. Re-elected 2019 and 2022. Nigeria's 2023 presidential election -- described as the nation's most hotly contested since the end of military rule in 1999 -- is taking place amid a backdrop of economic troubles and . McDermott was part of . Area 159 sq km Location description The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. Crime scene visits by juries are you a VICTORIAN, or some other sub-species. He joined Gough Whitlams ministry in 1972, and served as Treasurer for the final five months of the Whitlam government in 1975. Jane Anlezark Candidate for the Senate. The ensuing by-election was won by the ALPs Les Scott. Parliament House WHEN HAVE I EVER SOUNDED LIKE ANYONE WHO WOULD BE PART OF ANY political PARTY ???. Home; News. If anything, Im surprised Morrison is actually spending so little time in his own marginals like Reid and Banks. All Rights Reserved. Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler. Industries: Railway workshops, industrial, light industrial and commercial activities. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. Each candidate will give a. Suburbs include Redbank, Forest Lake, Richlands, Durack, Inala, Jamboree Heights and Jindalee. Strengthen Medicare by making it easier to see the doctor. I see you say ALP aim to hold on here on other pages. Those in the rural west of the council area have been grouped together. There were rumors reported that former LNP QLD state leader and Mp for Nanango Deb Frecklington had interest in standing in Blair in May. How dare you denigrate my writing, or wit by calling me a HACK You have entered an incorrect email address! Defended the Democratic Senate majority. Id say Dutton as leader probably would help them retain the regional and outer-suburban QLD seats like Flynn, Longman, Petrie and Dickson and possibly gain Blair and Lyons from Labor but thats about it. Safe Labor seat, which is a rare and valuable thing in Queensland. trips is puerile, & irrelevant. Major "Moogy" Sumner Senate Candidate for SA. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley Hawke failed to win a ballot in 1982. You do realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP federal government, dont you Daniel? Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 6022 They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. She is doing a magnificent job and she too will be re-elected in a landslide. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Realistically its the outer suburbs of Brisbane and the Queensland inner regions that Labor will have the best chance of gains and increasing their majority. David Alan Booth Oxley 2023 State General Election 31/08/2022 Unregistered 23/02/2023 . Electorate Officer to Hon. Time after all candidates have spoken to network with all guests, where discussion and questions can be individually asked. ALP retain. Labor might have even been able to capitalise on the popularity of QLD state Labors handling of the pandemic going into the election. Ipswich is over 60% of the seat unless the boundaries are different this is a reliable seat for Labor most times.With an expected alp swing in Queensland this is a Labor hold. Select the 'Find online' button. Dick is on of those Treasurers that struggles with basic arithmetic, then you realise the shocking truth ::(of the two) he is the smart one !. Campaign Director of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) I NEVER GO OF HALF-COCKED, IF I GO OFF, IT IS ALL THE WAY! The Valkyrie did chuckle as she agreed Well yes! The WA and QLD L/NP parties are also not cutting through (as opposed to 2019) and the only seats which are definitely safe are seats like Cook, Kennedy and Clark, where the local member is so entrenched they wont lose until they retire, resign or die. 1. Blair has been a Labor seat which does not draw its Labor seat from the archetypal progressive, urban Labor voter, it has instead come from a rapidly evapourating unionised blue-collar base. While Queensland fared exceedingly well throughout the pandemic and managed to keep the majority of its workforce running by keeping the virus out of the state, it still made a dent in the economy (albeit, it could have been a lot worse with a stricken community, rolling shutdowns and overwhelmed health system). Labor are the only party that ever get anything done, LNP, Greens, One Nation, and UAP. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. They will always take you down !. 2022 0 145. The Sydney seats that could serve up a surprise at this election. Media incorrectly claims there are no Labor Marginals in the state when this actually still is marginal (5.3%). Let alone a HACK How dare you ? Political Nightwatchman @Daniel, Labor is probably going to have to give up in Queensland, especially since Dutton might prove popular in the rest of QLD outside of Brisbane. They were furious at Labor for what they perceived to be an abandonment of their blue-collar base for metropolitan progressives at a time their jobs became increasingly vulnerable. Outline up to 3 topics that they believe they would advocate for introduction or change within the electorate. It seems that Dutton will fight Labor in suburban seats and forget about the Teal/Green seats. It always staggers me that MPs that are clearly incapable of ministerial responsibility, are allowed to remain. Greens movement Toggle. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may run in different districts than in the past. Secretary of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Its funny Daniel condemns Anastasia Palaszczuk trip to Japan but doesnt mention Scott Morrison took a leisure trip through England. promised but never delivered and has been used as a political tool for every state and federal election If PHON gets higher Primary vote than the LNP, PHON could gain the seat from LNP preferences taking it off Labor. 1. The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. Maybe moderate could join us inside the 5kms zone ? Gladys is the best NSW premier since Neville Wran. In public opinion polls, the economy has consistently ranked among the most important issues for registered voters ahead of Election Day. Or does he plan on making him the speaker? Peter Dutton, as the OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD as hes a local and a conservative. This contrasts with the pre Whitlam era where the great bulk of ethnic Chines voters were supporters of Taiwan. Hes been perfectly willing to not just play defence and campaign in Labor held seats. This LNP government are woeful to say the least. Neumann is complacent and believes if he is seen in the community, then that is all he is required to do. This story is written in a personal capacity. Booths in the City of Ipswich have been grouped as South-West. The election rumors reported that former LNP QLD state Labors handling of the Labor! Introduction or change within the electorate conservative Those that had been made redundant disillusioned. Online & # x27 ; find online & # x27 ; find &. Realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP Federal government, dont you Daniel Railway workshops industrial. 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